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Tropical Storm Ian 4PM Update

Tropical Storm Ian 4PM Update
25 September 2022, 04:35 PM
Weather

A Hurricane warning means Hurricane force winds are likely by 36 hours.

Issued: Sunday 25th September – 4PM

CURRENT STORMS INFO:

As of 4PM, Tropical Storm Ian was located at 16.2N and 80.3W of about 220 miles SSE of Grand Cayman with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. Tropical Storm Ian is moving towards the WNW at 12 mph with minimum central pressure of 1003mb / 29.62 inches.

BASED ON LATEST FORECAST TRACK

           The Onset of Tropical Storm Force Winds for:

·         Grand Cayman is: Mon Sep-26, 5:00 AM

The closest point of approach:

·         Center is 85 miles SW of Grand Cayman:  Mon Sep-26, 8:00 AM

End of Tropical Storm force winds for:

·         Grand Cayman is: Mon Sep-26, 3:00 PM

IF THE STORM CONTINUES ON ITS LATEST FORECAST TRACK

Expected weather conditions for the Cayman Islands:

Grand Cayman:

Overcast skies with widespread thunderstorms are expected from Sunday evening with tropical storm conditions by early Monday morning as the system nears the Cayman Islands. Extremely rough seas accompanied by storm surge are also expected.  Swells generated by Ian will spread into the Cayman area later today.

Sister Islands:

Overcast skies along with widespread thunderstorms are expected from Sunday evening as Tropical Storm Ian moves closer to the Cayman Islands. Extremely rough seas along with swells and storm surges are also expected. Given the adjustments to forecast track the possibility for storm force winds are lower for the Sister Islands.

WARNINGS

A FLOOD WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS

Estimated Rainfall Amount per Day

Sunday Sep. 25:  25.4 to 50.8 mm (1 - 2 inches)

Monday Sep. 26:  50.8 to 101.6 mm (2 - 4 inches)

Tuesday Sep. 27:  25.4 to 50.8 mm (1 - 2 inches)                                                                                      

GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS

Estimated Wind direction and Speeds – (Beginning Sunday night)

Grand Cayman

Sunday Night: SE at 20 to 30 mph

Monday Morning: 40 to 45 mph with higher gusts

Monday Afternoon: 25 to 35 mph

Monday Evening: 20 to 25 mph

Sister Islands

Sunday: 15 to 20 mph with higher gusts

Monday: 20 to 25 mph with higher gusts

A MARINE WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  ALL MARINE CRAFT SHOULD SEEK AND REMAINS IN SAFE HABOUR.

Estimated Wave Heights

Sunday Sep. 25:  6 to 8 feet especially along the south coast.

Monday Sep. 26:  9 to 12 feet especially along the south and west coast.

Tuesday Sep. 27:  6 to 8 feet especially along the south and west coast.

Swells of 5 to 7 feet are likely along with 1 to 3 feet of storm surge.

THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED AT 10:00 PM Sunday 25-SEP-2022.